Top insider trades (week of Mar 16)

Welcome to this week’s edition of CEO Watcher. This is the only tool that tracks the returns of insiders so we know which insider trades are worth copying.

This week we found:

• The average CEO Watcher stock has a max gain of 25%

• A director at $HOUS with 300% 1-year returns buys the stock

• and more

Have a great weekend and thanks for reading!

Connor

📢 Announcement

On Monday, the price of CEO Watcher is increasing to $50/month or $480/yr ($40/month).

It’s been running for a few months now and the returns have been stellar (image below). In order to continue improving the quality, I need to increase prices (and I still think it is way underpriced).

If you haven’t upgraded yet, you can lock in the current price by upgrading before Monday.

Current Returns

Excluding this week (just because enough time hasn’t passed to include those trades in the calculations), 66 stocks have been marked as “Top Purchases” in the CEO Watcher Premium emails and they have averaged a max gain of 25% with an average holding period of 3 weeks. Compare that to the S&P this year where the absolute best 3-week period had 4.4% returns.

Even if you didn’t time your trades perfectly, regardless of the timeframe you pick, the average find from CEO Watcher is up significantly more than the absolute best S&P returns for the given timeframe (i.e. if you compare the best two-week period for the S&P this year, it is up less than 4% which is 25% less than the average CEO Watcher find which is up 5% in two weeks).

Obviously, past results are not a guarantee of future returns, but so far copying the trades of the best insiders has been working very well.

👀 Top Insider Trades this Week

🥇Director at Anywhere Real Estate Inc. ($HOUS)

The Director purchased 8,424 shares at $5.93/share ($49,996.44 total) which increased their vested holdings by 16.3%. The current price is $5.95 (+0.3%). Their median purchase size is $29,663.70 and this is their 1st largest purchase out of 2 all time. (trade link)

Historic Returns
1m returns: 79% weighted | 79% median | 100% win rate (1/1)
3m returns: 190% weighted | 190% median | 100% win rate (1/1)
6m returns: 152% weighted | 152% median | 100% win rate (1/1)
1y returns: 316% weighted | 316% median | 100% win rate (1/1)

🥈 Senior VP and Treasurer at KRONOS WORLDWIDE INC ($KRO)

The Senior VP and Treasurer purchased 1,000 shares at $10.65/share ($10,652.30 total) which increased their vested holdings by 66.7%. The current price is $11.31 (+6.2%). Their median purchase size is $8,031.40 and this is their 2nd largest purchase out of 10 all time. (trade link)

Historic Returns
1m returns: 13% weighted | 9% median | 78% win rate (7/9)
3m returns: 19% weighted | 22% median | 100% win rate (9/9)
6m returns: 38% weighted | 19% median | 100% win rate (9/9)
1y returns: 90% weighted | 91% median | 78% win rate (7/9)

🥉 10% Owner at CSP INC /MA/ ($CSPI)

The 10% Owner purchased 1,870 shares at $36.68/share ($68,590.48 total) which increased their vested holdings by 0.3%. The current price is $39.94 (+8.8%). Their median purchase size is $47,705.20 and this is their 16th largest purchase out of 55 all time. (trade link)

Historic Returns
1m returns: 11% weighted | 7% median | 64% win rate (34/53)
3m returns: 20% weighted | 10% median | 62% win rate (32/52)
6m returns: 50% weighted | 12% median | 65% win rate (34/52)
1y returns: 77% weighted | 41% median | 76% win rate (28/37)